Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.018528 0.023484 0.030130 0.040033 0.055066 0.078286 0.119857
2024-12-29 0.012901 0.018027 0.026006 0.040387 0.068581 0.130404 0.320180
2025-01-05 0.009841 0.014494 0.022367 0.038293 0.075399 0.182671 0.759814
2025-01-12 0.008115 0.012421 0.020179 0.037372 0.083815 0.259875 2.290836
2025-01-19 0.007276 0.011578 0.019845 0.040073 0.105047 0.462134 29.155229
2025-01-26 0.006782 0.011206 0.020270 0.044862 0.141167 1.039529 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006365 0.010870 0.020647 0.049882 0.190615 2.966030 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005771 0.010054 0.019682 0.050322 0.220610 7.270250 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005289 0.009380 0.018874 0.050891 0.256364 26.530475 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004865 0.008756 0.018034 0.050939 0.292279 232.026114 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004392 0.007959 0.016572 0.047856 0.293067 2771.736188 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004060 0.007433 0.015729 0.046959 0.318614 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003783 0.007040 0.015299 0.048328 0.395225 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003506 0.006616 0.014709 0.048823 0.477592 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003190 0.006055 0.013594 0.046109 0.490381 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002952 0.005648 0.012850 0.044920 0.539811 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002841 0.005529 0.012950 0.048416 0.785835 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002781 0.005526 0.013414 0.054673 1.405364 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002718 0.005504 0.013817 0.061311 2.782124 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002577 0.005263 0.013411 0.061897 3.865964 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002452 0.005048 0.013054 0.062655 5.657639 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002331 0.004831 0.012644 0.062718 8.123886 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002179 0.004515 0.011818 0.058622 7.600125 NaN NaN